January 4, 2006
January 4, 2005
The launching of an outright war using nuclear warheads against Iran is now in the final planning stages.
Coalition partners, which include the US, Israel and Turkey are in "an advanced stage of readiness".
Various military exercises have been conducted,
starting in early 2005. In turn, the Iranian Armed Forces have also
conducted large scale military maneuvers in the Persian Gulf in
December in anticipation of a US sponsored attack.
Since early 2005, there has been intense shuttle
diplomacy between Washington, Tel Aviv, Ankara and NATO headquarters in
In recent developments, CIA Director Porter
Goss on a mission to Ankara, requested Turkish Prime Minister
Recep Tayyip Erdogan "to provide political and logistic support for air
strikes against Iranian nuclear
and military targets." Goss reportedly asked " for special
cooperation from Turkish intelligence to help prepare and monitor the
operation." (DDP, 30 December 2005).
In turn, Prime Minister Ariel Sharon has given the
green light to the Israeli Armed Forces to launch the attacks by the
end of March:
All top Israeli officials have pronounced the end of
March, 2006, as the deadline for launching a military assault on
Iran.... The end of March date also coincides with the IAEA report to
the UN on Iran's nuclear energy program. Israeli policymakers believe
that their threats may influence the report, or at least force the kind
of ambiguities, which can be exploited by its overseas supporters to
promote Security Council sanctions or justify Israeli military action.
(James Petras, Israel's War Deadline: Iran in the Crosshairs, Global Research, December 2005)
The US sponsored military plan has been endorsed by
NATO, although it is unclear, at this stage, as to the nature of NATO's
involvement in the planned aerial attacks.
"Shock and Awe"
The various components of the military operation are
firmly under US Command, coordinated by the Pentagon and US Strategic
Command Headquarters (USSTRATCOM) at the Offutt Air Force base in Nebraska.
The actions announced by Israel would be carried out
in close coordination with the Pentagon. The command structure of the
operation is centralized and ultimately Washington will decide when to
launch the military operation.
US military sources have confirmed that an aerial
attack on Iran would involve a large scale deployment comparable to the
US "shock and awe" bombing raids on Iraq in March 2003:
American air strikes on Iran would vastly exceed the
scope of the 1981 Israeli attack on the Osiraq nuclear center in Iraq,
and would more resemble the opening days of the 2003 air campaign
against Iraq. Using the full force of operational B-2 stealth bombers,
staging from Diego Garcia or flying direct from the United States,
possibly supplemented by F-117 stealth fighters staging from al Udeid
in Qatar or some other location in theater, the two-dozen suspect
nuclear sites would be targeted.
Military planners could tailor their target
list to reflect the preferences of the Administration by having limited
air strikes that would target only the most crucial facilities ... or
the United States could opt for a far more comprehensive set of strikes
against a comprehensive range of WMD related targets, as well as
conventional and unconventional forces that might be used to
counterattack against US forces in Iraq
(See Globalsecurity.org at http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/ops/iran-strikes.htm
In November, US Strategic Command conducted a major
exercise of a "global strike plan" entitled "Global Lightening". The
latter involved a simulated attack using both conventional and nuclear
weapons against a "fictitious enemy".
Following the "Global Lightening" exercise, US
Strategic Command declared an advanced state of readiness (See our
While Asian press reports stated that the
"fictitious enemy" in the Global Lightening exercise was North Korea,
the timing of the exercises, suggests that they were conducted in
anticipation of a planned attack on Iran.
Consensus for Nuclear War
No dissenting political voices have emerged from within the European Union.
There are ongoing consultations between Washington,
Paris and Berlin. Contrary to the invasion of Iraq, which was opposed
at the diplomatic level by France and Germany, Washington has been
building "a consensus" both within the Atlantic Alliance and the
UN Security Council. This consensus pertains to the conduct of a
nuclear war, which could potentially affect a large part of the Middle
East Central Asian region.
Moreover, a number of frontline Arab states are now
tacit partners in the US/ Israeli military project. A year ago in
November 2004, Israel's top military brass met at NATO headqaurters in
Brtussels with their counterparts from six members of the Mediterranean
basin nations, including Egypt, Jordan, Tunisia, Morocco,
Algeria and Mauritania. A NATO-Israel protocol was signed.
Following these meetings, joint military exercises were held off the coast of Syria
involving the US, Israel and Turkey. and in February 2005, Israel
participated in military exercises and "anti-terror maneuvers" together
with several Arab countries.
The media in chorus has unequivocally pointed to Iran as a "threat to World Peace".
The antiwar movement has swallowed the media lies.
The fact that the US and Israel are planning a Middle East nuclear
holocaust is not part of the antiwar/ anti- globalization
The "surgical strikes" are presented to world public
opinion as a means to preventing Iran from developing nuclear
We are told that this is not a war but a military
peace-keeping operation, in the form of aerial attacks directed against
Iran's nuclear facilities.
Mini-nukes: "Safe for Civilians"
The press reports, while revealing certain features
of the military agenda, largely serve to distort the broader nature of
the military operation, which contemplates the preemptive use of
tactical nuclear weapons.
The war agenda is based on the Bush administration's
doctrine of "preemptive" nuclear war under the 2002 Nuclear
Media disinformation has been used extensively to
conceal the devastating consequences of military action involving
nuclear warheads against Iran. The fact that these surgical strikes
would be carried out using both conventional and nuclear weapons is not
an object of debate.
According to a 2003 Senate decision, the new
generation of tactical nuclear weapons or "low yield" "mini-nukes",
with an explosive capacity of up to 6 times a Hiroshima bomb, are now
considered "safe for civilians" because the explosion is
Through a propaganda campaign which has enlisted the
support of "authoritative" nuclear scientists, the mini-nukes are being
presented as an instrument of peace rather than war. The
low-yield nukes have now been cleared for "battlefield use", they are
slated to be used in the next stage of America's "war on Terrorism"
alongside conventional weapons:
Administration officials argue that low-yield
nuclear weapons are needed as a credible deterrent against rogue
states.[Iran, North Korea] Their logic is that existing nuclear
weapons are too destructive to be used except in a full-scale nuclear
war. Potential enemies realize this, thus they do not consider the
threat of nuclear retaliation to be credible. However, low-yield
nuclear weapons are less destructive, thus might conceivably be used.
That would make them more effective as a deterrent. ( Opponents
Surprised By Elimination of Nuke Research Funds Defense News November
In an utterly twisted logic, nuclear weapons are
presented as a means to building peace and preventing "collateral
damage". The Pentagon has intimated, in this regard, that the
'mini-nukes’ (with a yield of less than 5000 tons) are harmless to
civilians because the explosions 'take place under ground’. Each of
these 'mini-nukes’, nonetheless, constitutes – in terms of explosion
and potential radioactive fallout – a significant fraction of the atom
bomb dropped on Hiroshima in 1945. Estimates of yield for
Nagasaki and Hiroshima indicate that they were respectively of
21000 and 15000 tons ( http://www.warbirdforum.com/hiroshim.htm
In other words, the low yielding mini-nukes have an explosive capacity of one third of a Hiroshima bomb.
|The earth-penetrating capability of the [nuclear]
B61-11 is fairly limited, however. Tests show it penetrates only 20
feet or so into dry earth when dropped from an altitude of 40,000 feet.
Even so, by burying itself into the ground before detonation, a much
higher proportion of the explosion energy is transferred to ground
shock compared to a surface bursts. Any attempt to use it in an urban
environment, however, would result in massive civilian casualties. Even
at the low end of its 0.3-300 kiloton yield range, the nuclear blast
will simply blow out a huge crater of radioactive material, creating a
lethal gamma-radiation field over a large area. |
Gbu 28 Guided Bomb Unit-28 (GBU-28)
The new definition of a nuclear warhead has blurred the distinction between conventional and nuclear weapons:
'It's a package (of nuclear and conventional
weapons). The implication of this obviously is that nuclear weapons are
being brought down from a special category of being a last resort, or
sort of the ultimate weapon, to being just another tool in the
toolbox,' said Kristensen. (Japan Economic News Wire, op cit)
We are a dangerous crossroads: military planners believe their own propaganda.
The military manuals state that this new generation
of nuclear weapons are "safe" for use in the battlefield. They are no
longer a weapon of last resort. There are no impediments or political
obstacles to their use. In this context, Senator Edward Kennedy has
accused the Bush Administration for having developed "a generation of
more useable nuclear weapons."
The international community has endorsed nuclear war in the name of World Peace.
"Making the World safer" is the justification for
launching a military operation which could potentially result in a
But nuclear holocausts are not front page news! In the words of Mordechai Vanunu,
The Israeli government is preparing to use nuclear
weapons in its next war with the Islamic world. Here where I live,
people often talk of the Holocaust. But each and every nuclear bomb is
a Holocaust in itself. It can kill, devastate cities, destroy entire
peoples. (See interview with Mordechai Vanunu, December 2005).
Space and Earth Attack Command Unit
A preemptive nuclear attack using tactical nuclear
weapons would be coordinated out of US Strategic Command Headquarters
at the Offutt Air Force base in Nebraska, in liaison with US and
coalition command units in the Persian Gulf, the Diego Garcia military
base, Israel and Turkey.
Under its new mandate, USSTRATCOM has a
responsibility for "overseeing a global strike plan" consisting of both
conventional and nuclear weapons. In military jargon, it is slated to
play the role of "a global integrator charged with the missions
of Space Operations; Information Operations; Integrated Missile
Defense; Global Command & Control; Intelligence, Surveillance and
Reconnaissance; Global Strike; and Strategic Deterrence....
In January 2005, at the outset of the military
build-up directed against Iran, USSTRATCOM was identified as "the lead
Combatant Command for integration and synchronization of DoD-wide
efforts in combating weapons of mass destruction."
To implement this mandate, a brand new command unit entitled Joint Functional Component Command Space and Global Strike, or JFCCSGS was created.
JFCCSGS has the mandate to oversee the launching of
a nuclear attack in accordance with the 2002 Nuclear Posture Review,
approved by the US Congress in 2002. The NPR underscores the
pre-emptive use of nuclear warheads not only against "rogue states" but
also against China and Russia.
Since November, JFCCSGS is said to be in "an
advance state of readiness" following the conduct of relevant military
exercises. The announcement was made in early December by
U.S. Strategic Command to the effect that the command unit had achieved
"an operational capability for rapidly striking targets around the
globe using nuclear or conventional weapons." The exercises conducted
in November used "a fictional country believed to represent North
Korea" (see David Ruppe, 2 December 2005):
"The new unit [JFCCSGS] has 'met requirements
necessary to declare an initial operational capability' as of Nov. 18.
A week before this announcement, the unit finished a command-post
exercise, dubbed Global Lightening, which was linked with another
exercise, called Vigilant Shield, conducted by the North American
Aerospace Defend Command, or NORAD, in charge of missile defense for
'After assuming several new missions in 2002, U.S.
Strategic Command was reorganized to create better cooperation and
cross-functional awareness,' said Navy Capt. James Graybeal, a chief
spokesperson for STRATCOM. 'By May of this year, the JFCCSGS has
published a concept of operations and began to develop its day-to-day
operational requirements and integrated planning process.'
'The command's performance during Global Lightning
demonstrated its preparedness to execute its mission of proving
integrated space and global strike capabilities to deter and dissuade
aggressors and when directed, defeat adversaries through decisive joint
global effects in support of STRATCOM,' he added without elaborating
about 'new missions' of the new command unit that has around 250
Nuclear specialists and governmental sources pointed
out that one of its main missions would be to implement the 2001
nuclear strategy that includes an option of preemptive nuclear attacks
on 'rogue states' with WMDs. (Japanese Economic Newswire, 30 December
CONCEPT PLAN (CONPLAN) 8022
JFCCSGS is in an advanced state of readiness to trigger nuclear attacks directed against Iran or North Korea.
The operational implementation of the Global Strike
is called CONCEPT PLAN (CONPLAN) 8022. The latter is described as "an
actual plan that the Navy and the Air Force translate into strike
package for their submarines and bombers,' (Ibid).
CONPLAN 8022 is 'the overall umbrella plan for sort of the pre-planned strategic scenarios involving nuclear weapons.'
'It's specifically focused on these new types of
threats -- Iran, North Korea -- proliferators and potentially
terrorists too,' he said. 'There's nothing that says that they can't
use CONPLAN 8022 in limited scenarios against Russian and Chinese
targets.'(According to Hans Kristensen, of the Nuclear Information Project, quoted in Japanese economic News Wire, op cit)
The mission of JFCCSGS is to implement CONPLAN 8022, in other words to trigger a nuclear war with Iran.
The Commander in Chief, namely George W. Bush would
instruct the Secretary of Defense, who would then instruct the Joint
Chiefs of staff to activate CONPLAN 8022.
CONPLAN is distinct from other military operations. it does not contemplate the deployment of ground troops.
CONPLAN 8022 is different from other war plans in
that it posits a small-scale operation and no "boots on the ground."
The typical war plan encompasses an amalgam of forces -- air, ground,
sea -- and takes into account the logistics and political dimensions
needed to sustain those forces in protracted operations.... The global
strike plan is offensive, triggered by the perception of an imminent
threat and carried out by presidential order.) (William Arkin, Washington Post, May 2005)
The Role of Israel
Since late 2004, Israel has been stockpiling US made
conventional and nuclear weapons systems in anticipation of an attack
on Iran. This stockpiling which is financed by US military aid was
largely completed in June 2005. Israel has taken delivery from the
US of several thousand "smart air launched weapons" including some 500
'bunker-buster bombs, which can also be used to deliver tactical
The B61-11 is the "nuclear version" of the
"conventional" BLU 113, can be delivered in much same way as the
conventional bunker buster bomb. (See Michel Chossudovsky, http://www.globalresearch.ca/articles/CHO112C.html , see also http://www.thebulletin.org/article_nn.php?art_ofn=jf03norris ) .
Moreover, reported in late 2003, Israeli
Dolphin-class submarines equipped with US Harpoon missiles armed with
nuclear warheads are now aimed at Iran. (See Gordon Thomas, http://www.globalresearch.ca/articles/THO311A.html
Late April 2005. Sale of deadly military hardware to Israel. GBU-28 Buster Bunker Bombs:
Coinciding with Putin's visit to Israel, the US Defence Security Cooperation Agency
(Department of Defense) announced the sale of an additional 100
bunker-buster bombs produced by Lockheed Martin to Israel. This
decision was viewed by the US media as "a warning to Iran about
its nuclear ambitions."
The sale pertains to the larger and more sophisticated "Guided Bomb Unit-28 (GBU-28) BLU-113 Penetrator"
(including the WGU-36A/B guidance control unit and support equipment).
The GBU-28 is described as "a special weapon for penetrating hardened
command centers located deep underground. The fact of the matter is
that the GBU-28 is among the World's most deadly "conventional" weapons
used in the 2003 invasion of Iraq, capable of causing thousands of
civilian deaths through massive explosions.
The Israeli Air Force are slated to use the GBU-28s on their F-15 aircraft.
(See text of DSCA news release at http://www.dsca.osd.mil/PressReleases/36-b/2005/Israel_05-10_corrected.pdf
Extension of the War
Tehran has confirmed that it will retaliate if
attacked, in the form of ballistic missile strikes directed against
Israel (CNN, 8 Feb 2005). These attacks, could also target US military
facilities in Iraq and Persian Gulf, which would immediately lead
us into a scenario of military escalation and all out war.
At present there are three distinct war
theaters: Afghanistan, Iraq and Palestine. The air strikes against Iran
could contribute to unleashing a war in the broader Middle East Central
Moreover, the planned attack on Iran should also be
understood in relation to the timely withdrawal of Syrian troops from
Lebanon, which has opened up a new space, for the deployment of Israeli
forces. The participation of Turkey in the US-Israeli military
operation is also a factor, following last year's agreement reached
between Ankara and Tel Aviv.
More recently, Tehran has beefed up its air
defenses through the acquisition of Russian 29 Tor M-1
anti-missile systems. In October, with Moscow`s collaboration, "a
Russian rocket lifted an Iranian spy satellite, the Sinah-1, into
orbit." (see Chris Floyd)
The Sinah-1 is just the first of several Iranian satellites set for Russian launches in the coming months.
Thus the Iranians will soon have a satellite network
in place to give them early warning of an Israeli attack, although it
will still be a pale echo of the far more powerful Israeli and American
space spies that can track the slightest movement of a Tehran mullah’s
beard. What’s more, late last month Russia signed a $1 billion contract
to sell Iran an advanced defense system that can destroy guided
missiles and laser-guided bombs, the Sunday Times reports. This too
will be ready in the next few months. (op.cit.)
While a ground war is not envisaged under CONPLAN,
the aerial bombings could lead through the process of escalation into a
Iranian troops could cross the Iran-Iraq
border and confront coalition forces inside Iraq. Israeli
troops and/or Special Forces could enter into Lebanon and Syria.
In recent developments, Israel plans to conduct
military exercises as well as deploy Special Forces in the
mountainous areas of Turkey bordering Iran and Syria with the
collaboration of the Ankara government:
Ankara and Tel Aviv have come to an agreement on
allowing the Israeli army to carry out military exercises in the
mountainous areas [in Turkey] that border Iran.
[According to] ... a UAE newspaper ...,
according to the agreement reached by the Joint Chief of Staff of the
Israeli army, Dan Halutz, and Turkish officials, Israel is to carry out
various military manoeuvres in the areas that border Iran and Syria.
[Punctuation as published here and throughout.] [Dan Halutz] had gone
to Turkey a few days earlier.
Citing certain sources without naming them, the UAE
daily goes on to stress: The Israeli side made the request to carry out
the manoeuvres because of the difficulty of passage in the mountain
terrains close to Iran's borders in winter.
The two Hakari [phonetic; not traced] and Bulo
[phonetic; not traced] units are to take part in the manoeuvres that
have not been scheduled yet. The units are the most important of
Israel's special military units and are charged with fighting terrorism
and carrying out guerrilla warfare.
Earlier Turkey had agreed to Israeli pilots being
trained in the area bordering Iran. The news [of the agreement] is
released at a time when Turkish officials are trying to evade the
accusation of cooperating with America in espionage operations against
its neighbouring countries Syria and Iran. Since last week the Arab
press has been publishing various reports about Ankara's readiness or,
at least, agreement in principle to carry out negotiations about its
soil and air space being used for action against Iran.
(E'temad website, Tehran, in Persian 28 Dec 05, BBC Monitoring Services Translation)
The implications are overwhelming.
The so-called international community has accepted the eventuality of a nuclear holocaust.
Those who decide have swallowed their own war propaganda.
A political consensus has developed in Western
Europe and North America regarding the aerial attacks using tactical
nuclear weapons, without considering their devastating
This profit driven military adventure ultimately threatens the future of humanity.
What is needed in the months ahead is a major thrust, nationally and internationally which breaks the conspiracy of silence,
which acknowledges the dangers, which brings this war project to the
forefront of political debate and media attentiion, at all levels,
which confronts and requires political and military leaders to take a
firm stance against the US sponsored nuclear war.
Ultimately what is required are extensive
international sanctions directed against the United States of America
Michel Chossudovsky is the author of the
international best seller "The Globalization of Poverty " published in
eleven languages. He is Professor of Economics at the University of
Ottawa and Director of the Center for Research on Globalization which
hosts the critically acclaimed website: www.globalresearch.ca . He is also a contributor to the Encyclopaedia Britannica.
His most recent book is entitled: America’s "War on Terrorism", Global Research, 2005.,
Related article: Planned US-Israeli Attack on Iran, by Michel Chossudovsky