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Neocon: Iran will have Nuke in Sixteen Days

Kurt Nimmo

Wednesday April 12th 2006, 5:35 pm

First it was ten years, then it was five or six, and now it is sixteen days. Iran will have a nuke in sixteen days and no doubt they will nuke Israel on the seventeenth day, if we are to believe the mendacious neocons. "Iran, which is defying United Nations Security Council demands to cease its nuclear program, may be capable of making a nuclear bomb within 16 days if it goes ahead with plans to install thousands of centrifuges at its Natanz plant, a U.S. State Department official said," Bloomberg reports, or rather repeats verbatim, no questions asked, as corporate media hacks never ask questions and take every whopper dispensed by the neocons at face value.

Stephen Rademaker, U.S. Assistant Secretary of State, that is to say a Straussian neocon flunky, does the math. "Natanz was constructed to house 50,000 centrifuges…. Using those 50,000 centrifuges they could produce enough highly enriched uranium for a nuclear weapon in 16 days."

It’s obvious what is going on here. Iran is thumbing its nose at the arrogance of the Straussian neocons and their obedient lapdog, the United Nations. "Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said yesterday the country had succeeded in enriching uranium on a small scale for the first time, using 164 centrifuges. That announcement defies demands by the UN Security Council that Iran shut down its nuclear program this month."

It is forbidden for Iran to develop nuclear energy—or even a measly bomb—but Israel is allowed to have around 400 nukes.

France made the mistake of helping Israel manufacture its nuclear program in the late 50s. It was duped in the process.

"Trouble arose in May 1960, when France began to pressure Israel to make the project public and to submit to international inspections of the site, threatening to withhold the reactor fuel unless they did. President de Gaulle was concerned that the inevitable scandal following any revelations about French assistance with the project, especially the chemical reprocessing plant, would have negative repercussions for France’s international position, already on shaky ground because of its war in Algeria," explains the Federation of American Scientists.

"At a subsequent meeting with Ben-Gurion, de Gaulle offered to sell Israel fighter aircraft in exchange for stopping work on the reprocessing plant, and came away from the meeting convinced that the matter was closed. It was not. Over the next few months, Israel worked out a compromise. France would supply the uranium and components already placed on order and would not insist on international inspections. In return, Israel would assure France that they had no intention of making atomic weapons, would not reprocess any plutonium, and would reveal the existence of the reactor, which would be completed without French assistance. In reality, not much changed—French contractors finished work on the reactor and reprocessing plant, uranium fuel was delivered and the reactor went critical in 1964."

Of course, the Israelis deceived the French and everybody else and began cranking out nukes like flapjacks a few years later.

"As early as 8 December 1960, the CIA issued a report outlining Dimona’s implications for nuclear proliferation, and the CIA station in Tel Aviv had determined by the mid-1960s that the Israeli nuclear weapons program was an established and irreversible fact."

It is said the Iranians are deceiving the International Atomic Energy Agency, and yet Israel went out of its way to hide its nuke program. "United States inspectors visited Dimona seven times during the 1960s, but they were unable to obtain an accurate picture of the activities carried out there, largely due to tight Israeli control over the timing and agenda of the visits. The Israelis went so far as to install false control room panels and to brick over elevators and hallways that accessed certain areas of the facility. The inspectors were able to report that there was no clear scientific research or civilian nuclear power program justifying such a large reactor—circumstantial evidence of the Israeli bomb program—but found no evidence of 'weapons related activities’ such as the existence of a plutonium reprocessing plant."

In 1986, the Israeli nuclear technician Mordechai Vanunu revealed for the world the extent of Israel’s secret and illegal nuclear program. For revealing the truth, Vanunu spent 18 years in an Israeli prison. He is not allowed to leave Israel and essentially remains a prisoner.

Israel has around 400 hydrogen weapons, nukes 100 to 1,000 stronger power than a regular nuclear bomb. According to retired US Army Colonel Warner D. Farr, M.D., Israel is the fifth largest nuclear superpower in the world.

In the 1973 "Yom Kippur War," Israel used nuclear blackmail to force Kissinger and Nixon to airlift supplies (see John Steinbach, Israeli Weapons of Mass Destruction: a Threat to Peace). In addition, Israel has used its "dependence" on nuclear weapons to fleece the American taxpayer.

Amos Rubin, economic adviser to former PM Yitzhak Shamir, said "If left to its own Israel will have no choice but to fall back on a riskier defense which will endanger itself and the world at large… To enable Israel to abstain from dependence on nuclear arms calls for $2 to 3 billion per year in U.S. aid" (Mark Gaffney, Dimona, The Third Temple: The Story Behind the Vanunu Revelation, Brattleboro, VT, 1989, Amana Books, p. 165; see previous link).

"The Israeli nuclear arsenal has profound implications for the future of peace in the Middle East, and indeed, for the entire planet. It is clear from [the late] Israel Shahak that Israel has no interest in peace except that which is dictated on its own terms, and has absolutely no intention of negotiating in good faith to curtail its nuclear program or discuss seriously a nuclear-free Middle East," Steinbach concludes.

In fact, Israel has no intention of ever signing a nuclear proliferation treaty and has worked nuclear blackmail and threats into its on-going effort to balkanize and dominate the Middle East.

"Whoever believes that Israel will ever sign the UN Convention prohibiting the proliferation of nuclear weapons… is day dreaming," Ze’ev Shiff, an Israeli military expert, wrote for Haaretz.

"The moral and political meaning of nuclear weapons is that states which renounce their use are acquiescing to the status of Vassal states. All those states which feel satisfied with possessing conventional weapons alone are fated to become vassal states," Munya Mardoch, Director of the Israeli Institute for the Development of Weaponry, declared in 1994 (see previous link).

Obviously, Iran understands this "vassal sate" dynamic all too well and that is why it may develop a nuclear bomb—certainly not in sixteen days, as Stephen Rademaker warns, but eventually.

Rademaker is married to Danielle Pletka, vice-president for Foreign and Defense Policy Studies at the American Enterprise Institute, the criminal organization where Bush gets his "minds." Pletka is described as an early neocon and associate of Martin Indyk, the former U.S. Ambassador to Israel, founding executive director of the criminal Washington Institute for Near East Policy, and research director for AIPAC.

Birds of a feather plot mass murder together.

Chances are slim to none the United States under the rule of perfidious Straussian neocons will allow Iran to develop a nuclear bomb and thus enjoy the untouchable status North Korea apparently enjoys (notice the neocons are not plotting to invade or shock and awe North Korea because this will result in widespread destruction of South Korea and even Japan).

Thus we can expect the neocons to launch their long-planned shock and awe campaign in the near future. It is impossible to predict an exact or even approximate date. But if the escalating rhetoric and saber-rattling—prompted by hysterical demands emanating almost weekly from Israel and echoed and amplified by the Straussian neocons—are any indication, it will be sooner before later.

Addendum

Stephen Rademaker may believe—or rather want us to believe—Iran is sixteen days away from building a nuke. But the Israelis disagree. Iran’s announcement it has enriched uranium "is worrying for everyone as we have seen with the international reaction," declared General Dan Halutz, Israeli military’s chief of staff, according to Zee News Limited. "The Iranians are not [capable of building a nuke] yet. Time is an essential element in the diplomatic process, and I believe that things will change during this process," Halutz added.

In fact, Iran appears to be a long way from developing highly-enriched uranium of the sort required for a nuclear bomb.

It should be noted that Iran has enriched uranium to 3.5 percent (fissile material) and this is sufficient for light water reactors, not nuclear weapons. "Uranium enriched to 20 percent U-235 or higher is considered highly enriched uranium (HEU), which can be used in nuclear weapons. The higher the percentage of enrichment, the easier it is to use the uranium to make a nuclear bomb because less material would be required to form a critical mass for a nuclear explosion. The uranium used in nuclear weapons is typically enriched to 90 percent U-235 or higher," notes the Center for Nonproliferation Studies at the Monterey Institute of International Studies.

In other words, Mr. Rademaker is telling another in a long succession of Straussian neocon fibs. Iran is nowhere near the level of isotope separation required to "worry not just Israel but the entire world," as Halutz puts it.

"Only a handful of countries have the capability to produce weapons-grade uranium—namely the five nuclear weapons states (US, UK, France, USSR, and China) and a very few others (including South Africa and Pakistan). Typically, a uranium enrichment plant covers many acres of land and uses as much energy as a large city. Such plants are large and sophisticated; they cannot be hidden from aerial surveillance," explains Gordon Edwards (he forgot to include Israel).

According to the UK Telegraph, Iran’s Natanz uranium enrichment facility "will soon have the capacity to enrich uranium to weapons grade."

Rademaker thinks that will happen in a little over two weeks—or he wants you to think so.

I’ll conclude with a quote from Juan Cole:

What is really going on here is a ratcheting war of rhetoric. The Iranian hard liners are down to a popularity rating in Iran of about 15%. They are using their challenge to the Bush administration over their perfectly legal civilian nuclear energy research program as a way of enhancing their nationalist credentials in Iran.

Likewise, Bush is trying to shore up his base, which is desperately unhappy with the Iraq situation, by rattling sabres at Iran. Bush’s poll numbers are so low, often in the mid-30s, that he must have lost part of his base to produce this result. Iran is a great deus ex machina for Bush. Rally around the flag yet again.

If this international game of chicken goes wrong, then the whole Middle East and much of Western Europe could go up in flames. The real threat here is not unconventional war, which Iran cannot fight for the foreseeable future. It is the spread of Iraq-style instability to more countries in the region.

I beg to differ with Mr. Cole. Bush—or rather the Straussian neocons who use him every day as a less than satisfactory sock puppet—the neocons could not care less about Bush’s "base" of pathetic fake-patriots clueless about reality (as the Straussian neocons tell us they create reality—at least for the easily duped and bedazzled). Additionally, "the spread of Iraq-style instability to more countries in the region" is precisely what the neocons want.

I don’t know if Cole buys into the fallacy that Bush blew it in Iran—expecting a "cakewalk" and rose petals tossed in admiration—but if he does he need only read the PNAC documents and other neocon literature. The Straussian neocons will not rest until the entire Muslim Middle East is in flames


:: Article nr. 22512 sent on 13-apr-2006 12:24 ECT

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