THROUGH
a combination of arms, money and political influence, Iran has
established itself as one of the most powerful forces in postwar Iraq,
where its Shia allies dominate local governments, the security services
and parts of the economy.
More than two years after the US-led invasion of its
neighbour, Iran is fast emerging as the only clear beneficiary of the
war that overthrew its enemy, Saddam Hussein, and allowed its allies to
rise to power.
After a series of attacks against British troops this summer,
culminating in this week’s stand-off in Basra, there are fears that
Iran is beginning to exert its new-found authority.
Iraqi and British officials interviewed this week said Iran’s
growing influence is being felt from Basra in the south to Baghdad in
the north, where Iranians are blamed for stoking sectarian tension,
undermining the coalition and trying to create a breakaway Islamic
state in southern Iraq.
Responding to the clashes in Basra this week, Donald Rumsfeld,
the US Defence Secretary, accused Tehran of being "interested",
"involved" and "not helpful".
Tougher language is being heard in the Arab world, where Iran
has been a foe from the time of the Persians. Prince Saud al-Faisal,
the Saudi Foreign Minister, said: "We fought a war together to keep
Iran out of Iraq after Iraq was driven out of Kuwait. Now we are
handing the whole country over to Iran without reason."
Iran claims that it is being blamed for America’s failures in
Iraq and says that it is behaving as a responsible neighbour should.
But an investigation by The Times suggests otherwise.
Last month, for instance, 36 Sunni Muslim men were kidnapped
from Baghdad, murdered, and their bodies dumped near the Iranian
border. Sunni leaders in Iraq blamed Iran and its Iraqi allies.
The incident occurred not far from where Iraqi border guards
were involved in an exchange of fire in July with gunmen who had
crossed from Iran. The guards found a cache of explosives, timers and
detonators.
The discovery appeared to confirm suspicions that Iran, or at
least elements in the regime, are encouraging attacks against American
and British forces. Six British troops and two British security guards
have been killed in the past two months in bombings blamed on Iraqi
Shias equipped with sophisticated explosives supplied by Iran’s
Revolutionary Guards.
In the British area of operations in southern Iraq there are
at least a dozen active Islamic groups linked to Tehran. They are
blamed for orchestrating a campaign of terror that includes attacks on
the British, imposing Islamic laws by force and intimidating and
killing opponents such as journalists and former members of the regime.
The most recent group targeted were former Iraqi pilots who
flew missions against Iran in the Iran-Iraq war. A resident of Basra
said: "Once these people were heroes for us. Who else would want them
dead?" Iraqis claim that it is now impossible to get a government job
without the sponsorship of one of these groups, dominated by Iraqis who
spent years in exile in Iran.
Locals also complain that Iranian goods are flooding local markets and that in many places Farsi has become a second language.
Those complaints are also directed against members of the
Shia-dominated Government of Iraq, including Ibrahim al-Jaafari, the
Prime Minister, and Abdel Aziz al-Hakim, head of the Supreme Council
for the Islamic Revolution in Iraq, which is Iraq’s largest Shia party.
Both lived for several years in Tehran during the Saddam era and
maintain close contacts there.
Under the provisions of Iraq’s federal constitution, which
will go before a referendum on October 15, provinces will be allowed to
create regional authorities. That has given rise to fears that the
Shias in the south, with the support of Iran, will seek to create a
mini Shia Islamic state, as Mr al-Hakim has already stated he wants.
Much of what happens could depend on events in Tehran, where
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, the President, is hardening Iran’s policy towards
the West.
Mr Ahmadinejad, a former special forces commando who served
during the Iran-Iraq war, gave notice at a military parade
commemorating the war yesterday that Iran would show no mercy towards
its enemies.
"If some want to test what they have tested before, the flame
of the Iranian nation will be very destructive and fiery," he said.
"Relying on our armed forces, we will make the aggressor regret its
actions."
CROSS-BORDER INFLUENCE
Badr Brigades
A Shia militia force of 12,000 trained by Iran’s Revolutionary
Guards and blamed for a spate of recent killings of Sunni Muslims.
Thought to control several cities in southern Iraq
Islamic Dawaa Party
Shia party that has strong links to Iran. Its leader, Ibrahim
al-Jaafari, the present Prime Minister, has vowed to improve ties
between the two neighbours
Mahdi Army
Received arms and volunteers from Iran during its battle against
US and British troops last year. Ahmed al-Fartusi, its commander in
Basra, was arrested by British forces last weekend
Mujahidin for Islamic Revolution in Iraq
Tehran-backed militia blamed for the murder of six British Royal Military Police soldiers in Majar el-Kabir in 2003
Thar Allah (Vengeance of God)
Iranian-backed terror group blamed for killing former members of the ruling Baath party and enforcing strict Islamic law
Jamaat al-Fudalah (Group of the Virtuous)
Paramilitary group that imposes Islamic rules on Shia areas; attacks shops selling alcohol and music
Al-Fadilah (Morality)
Secret political movement financed by Iran. Thought to have many members among provincial officials
Al-Quawaid al-Islamiya (Islamic Bases)
Iranian-backed Islamic movement that uses force to impose Islamic law