October 25, 2005
I know, I know, I know. We're not supposed to even think
that the CIA might have set up Plamegate, for fear that the neocons
might be able to claim some excuse like entrapment. The neocons are
obviously spooked and on the run. Look at their response, or rather
non-response, to the UN Hariri report, framing Syria for Hariri's
assassination so Kofi can get a few more months of free parking at the
UN. In the bad old days, they would have had a violent response ready,
and the bombs for Israel would already be falling. The slightly more
muted response of the 'cons - outrage based on a sloppy and incomplete (or here) preliminary report based on iffy testimony
that some Syrians might have been involved in blowing up a guy, while
blowing up the city of Falluja is apparently fine - is evidence that
they've temporarily decided to concentrate on saving their own necks
rather than indulge their normal predilection for murdering Arabs
(unfortunately, it appears that they'll get around to murdering Arabs
soon enough). Even before the indictments, if any, Plamegate has had a
salutary effect on American politics. I just can't get the tell-tale
signs of CIA involvement out of my head: - One of the mysteries of Plamegate is the identity of the forger of the Niger documents. Justin Raimondo ties
the forgeries to two CIA agents in Italy, probably in cahoots with
Chalabi or a Chalabi associate. On the face of it, it seems unlikely
that the CIA was involved, if only because the forgeries were so
spectacularly awful (the CIA is incompetent, but not in that way). What
if they were supposed to be awful, and supposed to be easily
discovered? What if they took Chalabi's hack forgeries, and blessed
them by having them pass through CIA hands? What if they knew that
Ledeen was crazy enough to take the forgeries at face value and run
with them (Ledeen fancies himself a 'change agent' and the forgeries
must have been impossible to resist in aid of another Machiavellian
scheme), bringing them into the neocon system and thus into the State
of the Union address as one of the few seemingly solid cases for war?
- The
CIA could have sent anybody they liked to Niger to investigate the
situation. While Wilson was a logical choice, there were many other
logical choices. If they were so deeply concerned about the undercover
status of his wife, isn't it odd that they picked Wilson? Assuming that
they picked Wilson because they knew he would deliver a negative
report, didn't it occur to anyone that the reaction to his report, even
absent the breaking of any laws, might put Wilson and his family in the
spotlight, thus threatening the privacy of their precious undercover
agent? Or was that the point?
- Why didn't Tenet object to
the sixteen words? He signed off on the State of the Union address,
after complaining about similar words in Bush's Cincinnati speech only
a few months earlier. Did he just get tired of hitting his head against
the wall? Or was he very happy to see the sixteen words?
- Why
did Wilson wait until after the war was over to write his article
embarrassing the Bush Administration? It looks to me, and it sure
looked to the neocons, that he had set them up.
- How did
the neocons know to start to attack Wilson before Wilson even wrote his
article? Did they have a spy in the CIA who gave them the heads-up? Or
was this spy actually a CIA agent in the White House (let them waste
some time and energy hunting for the mole!), setting them up by
starting them on the process of falling into Plamegate?
- What
kind of game was the CIA playing? They've been blamed for screwing up
the Iraqi intelligence, which isn't really fair, but the lingering
doubt is that they were remarkably two-faced about complaining about
the neocon misuse of intelligence. They really did try to have it both
ways, appearing to support the Administration while hedging their bets
by quibbling about the details. Were they simply cowed by having Dick
Cheney visiting them and giving them the skunk-eye? Or did they know
there was going to be a war anyway, regardless of the intelligence, and
so contrived to put themselves in the best possible position after the
war?
- Miller's recent article, for what it's worth,
indicates that the neocons felt themselves under siege from the CIA,
who was trying to set them up.
- Just how important was
Plame's status? There has been a lot of nonsense written from the left
- of all places - about how terrible it is to uncover a covert
operator. Threatens American lives! What a pile of crap. In the whole
history of the CIA the 'cult of intelligence' hasn't saved one American
life, and has no doubt endangered quite a few. Great job the billions
of dollars worth of covert operatives did preventing September 11 or
catching bin Laden! Plame doesn't even seem to have been actually
undercover at the time of Wilson's article. Her status seems to have
been widely known in certain Washington circles. Her famous front
employer, Brewster Jennings, doesn't even seem to have been operating.
The CIA lost nothing of value when Plame was outed, but gained some
remarkable public relations.
- The 'dog that didn't bark'
behind all this is the fact that the CIA has been abused, emasculated,
and humiliated by the neocons, and hasn't done a thing about it. When
John F. Kennedy mused about reducing the power of the CIA, the CIA
stood by and let the Pentagon and the FBI shoot him dead. Why are their
no dead people, except for a few in the State Department, in Washington
today? Is the CIA so domesticated that it would allow itself to become
a laughing stock without any attempt to fight back? Very unlikely.
The
general scenario is that some big brains in the CIA knew, even before
9-11, that Bush was going to attack Iraq, and knew that there was no
good reason to do so, and knew that the CIA was going to be hung out to
dry and blamed for the whole mess. They knew that Ledeen was
fundamentally an idiot, and would jump at any straw to advance the
Israeli cause of killing Arabs, so they made up or found some sloppy
forgeries and slipped them to Ledeen, perhaps using their pals at
SISME, knowing that Ledeen would put his foot in it by trying to use
them. The documents planted the seed of the entire uranium case, which
the CIA knew the neocons would have to use because they had no other
WMD evidence. They sent Wilson over to Niger because they knew he would
deliver a negative report and they knew he had an undercover wife whose
status was no longer important to them but which would look good on
television. Tenet, the guy who told
Cheney about Plame (!), but not perhaps that she was undercover, let
the sixteen words stay in the State of the Union address so Bush would
be personally entangled, thus putting downward pressure on the whole
system. Somebody in the CIA told somebody in the White House that
Wilson was going to embarrass them, and probably also told them about
Plame. The 'cons were cleverly led at each step by people who knew that
the neocon weaknesses - single-minded devotion to Israeli Likudnik
causes, paranoia, vindictiveness, clannishness, a lack of appreciation
of their own relative lack of sophistication, and a sense of complete
invulnerability - could be manipulated to lead them down the road to
disaster. It is exactly how Nixon was led into Watergate through
manipulation of his quite similar weaknesses.
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